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Ecuadorians display some optimism for 2024 and express confidence in Noboa’s leadership

Published on January 02, 2024

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Cedatos opinion poll gives high marks to Noboa, low marks to Assembly, and says insecurity is the biggest concern.

Optimism shines through as 39.8% of Ecuadorians look forward to a brighter 2024, surpassing the challenges faced in 2023, according to a comprehensive year-end survey conducted by Cedatos. The survey, a testament to the diversity of perspectives within the Ecuadorian population, not only highlights the impactful events of 2023 but also reveals a resilient optimism towards the upcoming year.

Citizen security and crime remain focal points for the Ecuadorian populace, reflecting ongoing concerns within the country. The survey, consisting of 2,243 participants from 17 urban and rural areas, spans the diverse landscape of Ecuadorian opinions.

The survey kicks off with a pulse-check on the general sentiment towards the state of the country. While 37.1% feel that Ecuador is on the right path, a significant 50.4% express uncertainty or believe it’s on the wrong path, indicating a divided opinion among the respondents.

Anticipation for a positive 2024 grows

Looking ahead to 2024, the anticipation is mixed. Nearly 40% believe the coming year will be an improvement over 2023, with 22% expecting it to be worse and 28.5% predicting a status quo. A notable 9.3% chose to abstain from expressing their opinion on the matter.

Economic prospects for 2024 also draw varied expectations. While 34.4% foresee prosperity, 27.6% anticipate difficulties, and 31.2% believe the situation will remain unchanged. A small percentage, 6.8%, chose not to respond to this particular inquiry.

Assessing the performance of President Daniel Noboa, the majority, at 66.5%, rate his management as very good or good. However, 14.5% express dissatisfaction, categorizing it as bad, and 6.5% as very bad. A portion, 12.4%, refrained from providing their assessment.

Shifting focus to the National Assembly, the public’s sentiment appears to have evolved since May 2023. A notable 34.6% now approve of the assembly’s management, a significant shift from the 4% approval recorded earlier. On the flip side, 45.4% express disapproval, with 16% choosing not to voice an opinion.

Credibility assessment of assembly members shows that only 20.1% trust them, while a significant 63.7% do not. Again, 16% abstain from providing their stance on this matter.

Insecurity emerges as the foremost concern among those surveyed, garnering 44% of the responses. Lack of employment and poverty closely follow, with 35% expressing these as significant issues. Additional concerns include corruption, government mismanagement, political conflict, and justice system mismanagement, collectively representing 21% of the respondents’ mentions.

Reflecting on the notable events and characters of 2023, the change of government and the dissolution of the Assembly, known as the cross death, emerge as the most impactful events. President Daniel Noboa takes center stage among the characters, with 22% of respondents acknowledging his prominence. Other figures include former president Lasso, attorney general Diana Salazar, and the late presidential candidate Fernando Villavicencio, among others.

As Cedatos approaches its 50th anniversary, the survey maintains its credibility, with a sample size of 2,243 participants from diverse urban and rural settings. The confidence level is 95%, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.2%, ensuring the reliability of the insights gained from this comprehensive study.


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