Daniel Noboa’s reelection reshapes Ecuador’s political history with record-breaking wins and a decisive shift away from Correismo.

Daniel Noboa’s decisive win in the 2025 presidential runoff not only secures him a second term but also carves his name into Ecuador’s modern political history, breaking records and upending long-standing trends in the country’s electoral behavior.

With the final vote count confirmed by the National Electoral Council (CNE), Noboa emerged victorious over his recurring rival Luisa González, marking a historic reelection that reconfigures the landscape of power that has dominated Ecuador since the return to democracy in 1979.

A Presidency of Firsts

At just 37 years old, Noboa becomes the youngest Ecuadorian president to be reelected, surpassing even Juan José Flores, who previously held the distinction of being the youngest to start a second term—at age 39. While Flores governed in the mid-1800s, Noboa’s modern triumph speaks to a new era of youth leadership and strategic political ascent in the digital age.

What’s more, Noboa’s back-to-back wins against the same opponent—Luisa González—set an unprecedented precedent in the country’s democratic history. Never before had two presidential runoff contenders met in two consecutive elections, let alone with the same result. In both 2023 and 2025, Noboa emerged the victor, joining an elite group of leaders able to maintain power through turbulent times.

Stronger Showing in the Second Round

This time around, Noboa not only repeated his victory but did so with a stronger mandate. While he captured 51.83% of the vote in 2023, his share in the 2025 runoff surged to 55.62%. The margin of victory—11.24 percentage points over González—places him among a select cadre of Ecuadorian leaders who have achieved a double-digit lead in a runoff, a feat achieved by only three others since the reinstatement of democracy.

Rafael Correa, the polarizing figure who dominated Ecuadorian politics for over a decade, defeated Álvaro Noboa—Daniel’s father—by 13.35 points in 2006. Sixto Durán-Ballén bested Jaime Nebot by 14.64 points in 1992. And in 1979, Jaime Roldós delivered a landslide against Durán-Ballén with a staggering 36.98-point margin. Daniel Noboa’s latest win now joins this distinguished list.

Breaking the Correa Bloc’s First-Round Streak

Perhaps one of the most symbolically powerful aspects of Noboa’s political rise is how it has disrupted the dominance of the Correista movement in the initial rounds of presidential elections. Since 2009, candidates aligned with Rafael Correa’s political machine had consistently finished first in the first round of every presidential race. That streak ended in 2025 when Noboa led the first-round voting, a feat not achieved since Álvaro Noboa topped the first round in 2006, narrowly edging Correa—only to lose to him in the runoff.

The symmetry between father and son—both having challenged and bested Correa’s influence in the first round nearly two decades apart—adds an intergenerational layer to the narrative of Ecuador’s political evolution.

A Calculated Campaign Amid Crisis

Noboa’s ability to maintain and grow his support base in just under two years reflects both his personal appeal and the strategic savvy of his administration. Elected in 2023 during a snap election triggered by a political crisis, his brief first term was marked by tough stances on security, economic stabilization efforts, and controversial emergency measures. Voters, it seems, rewarded continuity over change—especially when the change was represented by the Correista candidate whose movement many associate with corruption and authoritarian overreach.

Looking Ahead

With a stronger popular mandate, Noboa faces heightened expectations. His challenge now lies in navigating the difficult terrain of reforming state institutions, reviving the economy, and continuing to address insecurity without alienating the very coalition that propelled him to victory.

As the country prepares for another four years under his leadership, one thing is clear: Daniel Noboa’s political rise is more than a personal victory—it’s a reshaping of the political norms that have defined Ecuador for nearly half a century.